And just when you thought real estate agents weren’t vampires.

There’s a nominal amount of activity going on at 6 Hubert Street, formerly the site of Vinyl/Arc. The building seems to have changed hands (or at least plans) in May, which necessitated the closing of the club. Sinvin was listing the property (at $18 or $26 million, I can’t remember, and their listing is gone). It was being marketed as a potential residential conversion. The property information looks like hieroglyphs to us (there are others way better at interpreting them), but from what we can discern, it is an exercise in tax obfuscation without peer (anyone who runs an entity under the name ‘Last Gasp Realty’ can’t be taken real seriously). This is confirmed by the building register on the Hudson Street (157) entrance, which lists about 15 tenants for a building that looks by and large abandoned.

It all seems a little shady because of the current activity. The doors on Hubert and Collister have been graced with a new coat of black paint (erasing the simple graphic that denoted the entrance to Arc), and the basement, previously filled with construction debris, is fairly clean, with a very interesting exception: a very precise hole is being dug just under the Hubert Street entrance. With the excavated dirt lining the hole, and its dimensions, it pretty much looks like a grave site. Now, there’s plenty of reasons for such a project, though we can’t name any really good ones right now (tip on Jimmy Hoffa?), but given the air of decrepitude of the building, and the hazy ownership record, the bare bulb throwing a garish light on the crispy hewn orifice some three feet by eight, in a basement no less, makes it just a little creepy.

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How long can you tread water?

We all know just how cutthroat New York Real Estate is, but in case you were looking for some hard numbers, the Times serves them up cold: if it comes down to your life or rentable square feet, well, don’t ask a question you don’t want to know the answer to. Commercial property owners, which successfully lobbied in 1968 — a good 57 years after the Triangle Shirtwaist Fire — to effectively halve the number of required exits for tall buildings, are fighting any revisions to codes that might expand their responsibilities.

The Times peice is some pretty muddly analysis, noting that ‘5 of 6’ firestairs in the WTC were unusable during the 9/11 attacks, but that number refers to the strike zones and above (which the Times fails to note). The 9/11 commission concluded that almost 99% of those located below the strike zones were successfully evacuated (though it should be noted that this was due to more sophisticated command and control systems put in place by major tenants after the 1993 bombing, and the active insurrection of most workers who ignored fire command instructions to stay put). Allowing that the stairs would be evenly dispersed, doubling the number of exits would have only added one functional staircase. But unlike the standard canard of real estate, location isn’t everything here. If the stairs that were in place were more fire resitant — one recommendation is for a 4-inch concrete liner that may have been adequate to withstand even the 2,000 degree fire at the WTC for a short while, provided the entries were airlocked — this may have made a difference without taking away as many precious square feet. But even this is too much for the landlords.

But the line should be drawn somewhere, and this is a key point since the escape statistic noted above presents the ugly logic for future potential terrorists to try and strike the lowest possible floor (tactically the easiest option as well). So quality of escape route is as crucial as the number, but unfortunately no one is seeing the light on this point either. But don’t worry, your boss really is worried about you. Quoth the Times:

One major financial company, while building a new headquarters, used a computer model to study how many of its employees would able to evacuate if three bombs were exploded inside 20 minutes on different floors, according to Ms. Lancaster. The plans showed that many employees would still be able to escape.

Many. Not most, but many. That makes you feel all warm inside doesn’t it? Oh, wait, that’s probably the fire nipping at your nose.

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How do you spell failure? B.P.C.

There’s a term used in selling investment products that comes up when it is necessary to explicate the gap between the rosy projections of any piece of sales literature (that mythical 7-11% return that climbs steadily northward) and what may have actually happened: it’s called hindsight bias — one of the few terms that makes sense independent of financial services jargon. It’s the point where you explain to someone that should you look back and find the absolutely two best points to buy and sell a stock, it cannot be a rational basis for acting now, since it is impossible (sort of like the Heisenberg Principle) to determine if one of those two points is approaching.

It applies to just about any retrospective analysis in life. Real estate and development is another. If you had only moved to X back in Y, you’d be rich, etc. So it takes a certain amount of rigor to analyze an event without coloring conclusions with extraneous information. The folks at the Downtown Express — not the most nonpartisan folks, but they do manage occassional burst of incisive journalism — therefore cannot be entirely blamed for the whitewash they give to Battery Park City, presented on the eve of the final betrayal of public interest, which slips by with they jaded resignation of the sellout. But becoming inured to the corruption with which real estate development happens is not something we should allow journalists.

And so here we have what is trotted out as the signal accomplishment of Manhattan development, an anitdote to Robert Moses, a livable, park-like environment. But we’ll skip right over that residents love it because it’s so unlike Manhattan, and that it was mostly luck and the determined effort of one designer that saved the project from a forest of skyways a la Minneapolis. The bridges connecting the WFC buildings look like an aberration now, but that was the intended goal for the entire project, so that precious ground level space could be freed up for, yep, you guessed it, cars and trucks.

So it’s mostly banal, it never attracted new downtown businesses, and it’s another example of a quasi-private entity that consumes public resources at disproportionate levels (they get to unilaterally make budget decision and simply net expenditures againsts their yearly PILOT numbers), that’s not a failure on the order we come to expect, in a city where things are done big or they aren’t done at all.

Well, we have that too, in monumental quality. Over the 35-year history of the development, the primary goal of Batter Park City was to provide public housing. A number that ranged from 6,000 (including middle-income units) in 1969, to 14,000 in the 80’s to 24,000 in the 90’s (when it was tacitly agreed that building them on-site was not going to jibe with all the flocking rich white folks). Total number constructed? Less, than 2,000 (see the gory details here). It’s crucial to talk about this, not just because it’s another example of how ruthlessly class warfare is perptuated on the lower echelons of our city, but because we are at another critical nexus of planning and investment. To whit, the city has announced another sweeping public housing initiative, coupled with the defunding of big chunks of the homeless shelter program, and they are looking to hand out positively gargantuan sums to sports teams. It was agreed more than once that surplus revenues from the BPC would fund affordable housing. Now it is openly being recommended that the initial funding for Hudson Yard be the surplus funds. That’s right: $600 million for public housing for 22 people, and they don’t even get to sleep there at night.

So let’t not get all misty eyed about how great Battery Park is. When it was being planned there was one restaurant in TriBeCa, places like Independence Plaza were lonely encampments, and the city was looking to hide its low income residents on a perch at the end of Manhattan. But the minute it became clear that it wasn’t going to be a prison, the promise of low income housing was shunted aside. The information is there, but everytime a reporter is dispatched to present fact, turns out their boss has a cozy relationship with a developer (the Times), or is one (the Daily News). And so everyone rolls over and ignores the fact that the wealthy invented class warfare, and the ability of the downtrodden to resist grows weaker each year. You would think that at the very least, the rich would understand without the poor, there would be no mechanism for edifying their egos.

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At least we can look up her skirt.

More we-are-winning-the-battle kind of news today: the Statue of Liberty is ‘open’ again, in the same kind of way that ‘anyone’ can be President or get reservations at Nobu. The Statue is now ‘run’ by one of those ‘private-public’ organizations, like the Central Park Conservancy, and it turns out they are just as paternal and high-handed. Thus, in a fit of symbolism that anyone who isn’t a white guy will appreciate, visiting the Liberty Island (which I assume still requires removing your belt to get through security), affords the opportunity to look up the innards of the Statue through a glass-ceiling. And, like CP, let’s all pretend to be surprised when it turns out that this vigiliant concern about security is shit-canned the second Disney wants to shoot a television show or someone wants to hold a fundraiser there.

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We have a winner!

The votes are in! After an a day of confusion about exactly where we should be expending our precious heightened awareness of impending terrorist attack, it turns out that the selfless workers at the Citicorp Tower (we’ll be all retro here, since they don’t even own it anymore) on Lex and 53rd (officially 153 East 53rd) — you know, the ski slope building — are those under imminent threat. This courtesy the Times, which is partly to blame, since they ran a photo of 399 Park Avenue, which is the corporate HQ.

This isn’t the first time the Citicorp building was in dire straits. Due to an unauthorized construction modification (bolting structural joints instead of welding), the building was potenially vunerable to toppling over in a strong wind (if you’ve spent much time downtown in the colder months, you know that 70mph actually isn’t that beyond the pale).

More fun facts about your neighborhood symbol of Dread Westernism: architect Hugh Stubbins initially proposed that solar cells be mounted on the slope, in hopes of offsetting the energy consumption of a 59-story tower. This is what is known as a symbolic gesture. That went by the wayside quickly, though they didn’t square up the roof, which subsequently became a maintenance hazard (all that snow and ice running down a 45-degree slope? Problematic).

But we should all just chill. Just as the possibility of it collapsing was hidden from the public for decades, it turns out the terrorist threat has been around for some time as well. Hey, it’s not like their slogan is ‘Live Safely‘.

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Deaniac.

Dean Bowman should be the most important American singer alive. Cleary, I already think he is. And ‘important’ being a slight distinction from ‘best’ (not that I would be averse to promoting this as well). I’m sure that this isn’t the first time someone has listened to a performer and thought, ‘if everyone just listened to this, people could, would change.’ To say nothing of the powerful orators that we have cast aside, if not outright destroyed. But resilience of spirit should be celebrated and inspire action.

Dean just moved, but is coming back for a week of shows. Go see him. If he doesn’t fill you with joy and make you want to cry at the same time, then your soul must be a sad place. The Thursday shows are the most recommended.

Dean Bowman sings Black Spirituals
Thursday, August 5th, 9pm and 10:30pm, $12
Jazz Gallery, 290 Hudson Street
With D.D. Jackson (piano, organ), Jerome Harris (bass, guitar), and Michael
Wimberly (drums, djembe).

“SONGS IN THE KEY OF LIFE”
Saturday, August 7, 3PM (free)
Central Park Summerstage
Featuring: Caron Wheeler, Vernon Reid, Corey Glover, Imani Uzuri, Gordon Chambers, Dean Bowman, Tamar-Kali, Kelli Sae and many, many others!

Caron Wheeler and The Screaming
Headless Torsos

Thursday, August 12, 2004, 9PM (Doors, 7PM), $15
S.O.B.’S, 204 Varick Street

“THE NOT-SO-GREAT AMERICAN SONGBOOK”
(aka Bad Reagan Era Music)
Saturday, August 14, 3PM (free)
Central Park Summerstage
Featuring: Marshall Crenshaw, Kiki & Herb, Moby, Judith Owen, Elizabeth Ziff, Dean Bowman, Everett Bradley, Gordon Chambers, Maggie Moore’s Chanteuse Club, and many more special guests — curated by Richard Barone.

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But they might buy the naming rights to the Gowanus — Stillenkarre, perhaps?

IKEA is going to need a lot of free tee shirts to combat the wave of bad press they might be facing, if today’s item in the Daily News is any indication of what the next month will be like. A new study (which follows one completed by ‘Gridlock Sam’ Schwartz that put the potential impact at 14,000 cars daily) predicts upward of 20,000 cars daily, considerably more that IKEA projects. Schwartz was dismissive about the methodlogy, but even at his lower number (still ten times the number of parking spaces in the current plan) concludes that the project is ill-advised. We are a little skeptical too, since much of this traffic will be on weekends, and we happen to know that such a number is impossible, if only because every vehicle on the eastern seaboard is otherwise occupied right in front of our apartment, trying to get at the Holland Tunnel.

Given the recent Yankees expansion proposal, the fiasco that is the Jets Stadium (ooh, the ‘Multi Modal Convention and Entertainment Center, or whatever the hell they are calling it), it would seem that we doomed to repeat the errors of planning large for large’s sake, as documented yesterday in the Times.

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A proper civics lesson.

Last week, the Van Alen institute announced the finalists for their Civic Exchange competition, which is developing a prototype for information distribution in lower Manhattan, that, in their words, will:

Underscor[e] the critical role of innovative design thinking in the regeneration of downtown, [calling] for designs that will 1) provide information and generate interaction; 2) stimulate place-based education; and 3) enhance the appearance, perception, and experience of public space.

It’s not clear if the winner will be constructed, or what steps would be required to make this possible, which is crucial to raising the bar for discussing publicly funded design. When Atlanta hosted the Olympics, there was a very high profile competition with no mandate for construction. Granted it was more critique than competition (the sites were four particularly difficult intersections that were emblematic of how freeways undermine urban areas and a parking lot), but when you draw the interest and effort (which, considering the size of the stipend for this program, still requires a good deal of unfunded labor) of the best designers working but don’t provide a path to realization, you train people to believe accomplishment is a series of powerful gallery shows and a monograph or two. That isn’t public work, that is the successful distraction of those who might make the most difference.

The people who made the short list are an impressive collection of thinkers, and actual doers. Given the multi-disciplinary nature of competitions these days, it’s a lot of names (see the PDF for the full list), including Antenna (designers of the new MetroCard terminals and the interiors of the new subway cars), Thomas Leeser (best known, for, well, the Gold Bar, though he was just awards an addition to the American Museum of the Moving Image), Mesh and David Reinfurt (who collaborated on the Story Corps kiosk in Grand Central Terminal) and a whole bunch of folks, led by an organization called Local Projects. Among them, there are more than a few good ideas and some acutal opportunities for execution. If this program gets off the boards, it might be the first time since something physical has risen from to the level (and perhaps beyond) the supposedly high-minded rhertoric that has erected itself downtown.

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We don’t need no stinking murals.

Though Curbed smartly noted last week that the mural at 6th Street and the Bowery is in danger, should the lot be sold, it turns out that the wrecking ball may loom even larger, in the form of that bastion of architectural rigor, the Cooper Union. Turns out space the mural occupies might be worth upwards of ten large a month, should some buyer be found. And if one turns up, it’s curtains for the mural, reports the Times. Cooper Union is apparently sticking to their end of the agreement, which was to not touch it for a year, which is well past. But ask most anyone in the neighborhood, I would hazard they would be aghast that what looked like a memorial is actually considered a placeholder by its owner.

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Bronx cheer.

Only $100 million dollars. That’s the cagey sell from the only convict to own a baseball team. So we should trust his word. Anyway, just as the RPA observed when they opined that investing in the Jets stadium, one of the oft hidden cost to team subsidies is that, like whiny teenagers, when you hand money to one of them, the other ones put their hand out. So we’ve got Bobby angling for $600 million, Brucey making his way towards about $200 million, which makes the fairest of them all, George, seem like the cute and precocious one (sort of like the Oliver of New York owners). Figure that the Dolans and Fred Wilpon can squeeze the city for at least that much (and what about the Giants? when do they get theirs?), we’re looking at over a billion dollars to help out businesses that all make a profit, even by the shady accounting practices they employ, and that aren’t going anywhere. No chance. This isn’t Baltimore, fer chrissakes; each one of those teams would lose half their market value outside of this metro area. Local television contracts, higher ticket prices, and increased merchandising sales are calcuable amounts, not the speculation of some blowhard in the back pages of the Post whining about the Dodgers and heartbreak.

The details are fuzzy: the city and state would pitch in for a new Metro-North stop, and highway improvements, but the status of the existing stadium is unclear: it might be parking lot, it might not. If not, the team isn’t planning to build one. No one says if the city’s portion includes cost of a parking structure. No one says how maintenance and upkeep of the unused stadium will be finanaced. No one is even bothering to justify the revenue grab this callously represents: even though the Yankees have the highest attendance in baseball, they are cutting 6,000 seats in this plan, since the benefit of luxury boxes will more than make up for sticking it to those who brought you. The kicker is that the Yankees won’t be paying for any of it. They will instead get credit against their revenue sharing contribution to MLB, getting to subtract the $40 million debt service from their yearly Bud Selig induced tax; last year, their share was $60 million, which means, basically, that if they hold steady with earnings, they could pay for all of the new stadium. So the city is hedging the Yankees future earnings potential (which is further offset by the fact that if the Yankees earnings dropped enough, they would get a net benefit from revenue sharing). Man, with deals like this, its amazing George was so sloppy as to get arrested.

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